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Informal Economy

What is Informal Economy?

The informal economy is legal production that goes unregistered and untaxed, so its output and its workers are missing from official statistics.

Street vending, unlicensed repair work, casual construction and paid domestic work are all legal activities that never touch a tax form or a business register. Statisticians estimate the missing output rather than observe it, so measured GDP and measured employment both understate what an economy actually produces. Informal firms stay small on purpose, because growing draws the attention of inspectors, and that ceiling on size holds down productivity and wages. The workers involved also sit outside pension, injury and contract protection, which is why formalization is a standard development goal rather than a bookkeeping preference.

Informal Economy: a worked example

Take a country with measured GDP of 480 billion and a survey estimate that informal activity equals 25 percent of measured GDP, or 120 billion. True output is 480 + 120 = 600 billion, so the official figure understates the economy by 120/600 = 20 percent. If that hidden 120 billion were taxed at 15 percent it would carry 18 billion in revenue, which is the fiscal reason governments chase formalization.

The mistake students make with informal economy

Students equate the informal economy with the black market. Informal activity is legal work done off the books, like an unregistered food stall; the black market supplies goods that are illegal no matter who registers them, like smuggled fuel. A second error is assuming informal output is simply omitted from GDP, when statistical agencies impute an estimate for it, so the problem is accuracy rather than total absence.

Informal Economy questions

Is the informal economy included in GDP?

Only partly, and by estimate rather than by measurement. Statistical agencies impute a figure for unregistered activity, so informal output sits inside the GDP number with far more uncertainty attached than registered output, and countries differ in how much of it they attempt to capture.

What is the difference between the informal economy and the black market?

The informal economy produces legal goods and services outside registration and tax, while the black market produces goods and services that are illegal in themselves. A cash-paid house cleaner is informal; a smuggler is in the black market.

Why do firms stay informal?

Firms stay informal when the cost of registering, filing taxes and meeting labor rules outweighs what registration buys them. Formal firms get bank credit, enforceable contracts and public tenders, so the calculation flips once a firm is large enough to need those things.

Formula / Example

Informal share of true output = informal output / (measured GDP + informal output)

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